The national energy outlook 2017 neo 2017 provides an insight into developments in the dutch energy system in an international context. It represents the leading source citation needed for medium to longterm energy market projections, extensive statistics, analysis and advice for both governments and the energy. In 2035, the united states would realize a 15% decrease in energy demand relative to 2010 and a 1. There is no single story about the future of global energy and no longterm iea forecast for the energy sector. This years projections for different scenarios to 2040, based on the latest data and market developments, cover all fuels, regions, and technologies.
The outlook presents a full update of energy projections through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, climate change, economic development, and universal access to modern energy. Energy information administration international energy outlook 2016 iii preface appendix a contains summary tables for the ieo2016 reference case projections of world energy consumption, gdp, energy consumption by fuel, carbon dioxide emissions, and regional population growth. Scenarios and projections to 2040, including the new sustainable development scenario. China consolidates its position as the worlds largest energy consumer. How electrification and shared mobility will impact road transport from now to 2040. The international energy agencys world energy outlook 20. As the worlds population grows and demand for energy services swells, the already high costs of air pollution are at risk of increasing dramatically. The latest world energy outlook offers the most comprehensive analysis of what this transformation of the energy sector might look like, thanks to its energy projections to 2040. Any such attempt is doomed to fail the uncertainty surrounding the energy transition is here to stay. So as oil prices rise, demand may soften especially in developing world economies and choose alternatives to oil, further deflating prices. Its the first outlook published with faith birol at his new post as the executive director of the iea, as birol was, until recently, chief economist and director of global energy economics. Watch the story unfold june 16, 2016 new energy outlook neo is bloomberg new energy finances annual longterm view of how the worlds power markets will evolve into the future. World energy outlook 2018 international energy agency.
World energy outlook 2016 sees renewables and natural gas. Signs of change in global energy have multi plied in the 12 months since the last world energy outlook weo oil prices fell sharply, with the prices of other fuels moving in. The graphics in this presen tation focus on projections through 2040. Energy information administration annual energy outlook 20 early release overview 1 aeo20 early release overview executive summary projections in the annual energy outlook 20 aeo20 reference case focus on the factors that shape u. World energy outlook 2017 now available at 50% off. The engine of energy demand growth moves to south asia primary energy demand, 2035 mtoe china is the main driver of increasing energy demand in the current decade, but india takes over in the 2020s as the principal source of growth 4% 65% 10% 8% 8% 5% oecd nonoecd asia middle east africa latin america eurasia share of global growth 20122035 480. Countries including india and indonesia took advantage of the oil price decline to move ahead with their phaseout of fossilfuel. Energyrelated co 2 emissions by region china overtakes the us as the worlds biggest emitter before 2010, though its per capita emissions reach just 60% of those of the oecd in 2030 0 3 6 9 12 15 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 gigatonnes of co 2.
The value of the outlook is not in trying to predict the future. Energy intensity is improving across major economies, but the rate of change and relationship to energy demand varies. Soaring oil, gas and coal prices, exploding energy demand in china, war in iraq and electricity blackouts across the world are among the signs and causes of the profound transformations through which the energy world is passing. Welcome to the 2017 new energy outlook neo, bloomberg new energy finances annual longterm analysis of the future of energy. The first observation is that developments in surrounding countries have a major impact on the netherlands. In this episode, justin shares the key findings of bloomberg new energy finances neo report 2017. Contacts the international energy outlook 2016 was prepared by the u. This groundbreaking special report launched ahead of the full world energy outlook 2016 provides. Assessing todays supplies to fuel tomorrows growth zworld energy outlook 2002 2nd edition issued zworld energy outlook 2003 insights. Weo 2016 gives particular attention to the following. Please note that this pdf is subject to specific restrictions that limit its use and distribution. That is the question asked by the international energy agency on page 48 of the introduction to their world energy outlook 2010, launched on 9 november 2010.
The annual world energy outlook is the international energy agencys flagship publication, widely recognised as the most authoritative source for global energy projections and analysis citation needed. The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. Justin wu so the new energy outlook, or neo for short, is our annual longterm economic forecast of the worlds power sector. The fuse iea changes tune in world energy outlook 2015. Energyrelated co 2 emissions by region china overtakes the us as the worlds biggest emitter before 2010, though its per capita emissions reach just 60% of those of the oecd in 2030 0 3 6 9 12 15 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 gigatonnes of co 2 united states china rest of nonoecd rest of oecd. World energy outlook series zworld energy outlook 1998 zworld energy outlook 1999 insights. The world energy outlook does not forecast what will happen. Energy information administration eia of the outlook for international energy markets through 2035. The world energy outlook weo is a study that models future energy trends on the basis of different global scenarios. This trend will accelerate, as energy producers continue to diversify their portfolio beyond oil and gas revenues. The 2016 edition was released in november and is almost 700 pages long. This years edition updates the outlooks for all fuels, technologies and regions, based on the latest market. Ieas world energy outlook 2016 center for strategic and.
Despite this increase in energy demand, around twothirds of the worlds population in 2040 still live in countries where average energy consumption per head is. Global wind energy outlook 2016 scenarios main assumptions iea new policies scenario. Reference case projections in each edition of the ieo are not predictions of what is most likely to happen. Iea energy efficiency 2018 and world energy outlook 2018. The weo proposes three potential scenarios for energy use between now and 2040. This years energy outlook provides fresh insight into these trends and many more. Doubts have arisen about whether emerging countries would drive the acceleration of global economic growth in the near future. The international energy outlook 2010 ieo2010 presents an assessment by the u. Focused on the electricity system, neo combines the expertise of over 65 inhouse country and technologylevel specialists in 11 countries to provide a unique assessment of how the market will evolve. Paul holtberg, team leader, analysis integration team paul.
Asiaworld energy outlook 2016 international energy forum. Focussed on the electricity system, neo combines the. Weve been doing a longterm forecast since about 2009, and the neo report is really focused on the electricity system. So, we combine the expertise of over 80 of our market and technology specialists around the world to provide a unique view on how the. The energy world is marked by a series of deep disparities, between. Global energy use grows by 36%, with nonoecd countries led by china, where demand surges by 75% accounting for almost all of the increase world primary energy demand by region in the new policies scenario 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 oe rest of world china oecd. Asiaworld energy outlook 2015 i foreword he global energy environment has changed dramatically since only a little more than one year ago. What if the world continues on its current path, with no additional changes. Iea world energy outlook 2016 special report on energy and. Mar 08, 2017 global wind energy outlook 2016 scenarios main assumptions iea new policies scenario. The international energy agencys world energy outlook.
It shows how rising prosperity drives an increase in global energy demand and how that demand will be met over the coming decades through a diverse range of supplies including oil, gas, coal and renewables. The iea is committed to shaping a secure and sustainable energy future for all. New iea analysis finds that globally, the oil and gas industry can feasibly reduce up. The power generation sector continues to evolve rapidly, and the developments in renewable energy are driving many of these changes. The world energy outlook is a comprehensive and valuable contribution to the energy scene, much beloved of energy geeks and policy wonks alike. The outlook presents a full update of energy projections through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, climate change, economic development, and universal access to modern energy services. Use of all fuels except coal grows throughout the reference case. Energy information administration s eia international energy outlook ieo presents an analysis of longterm world energy markets in sixteen regions through 2050. The new energy outlook neo is bloomberg new energy finances annual longterm global forecast for the future of energy. The csis energy national security program is pleased to host dr. Fatih birol, executive director at the international energy agency iea, to present the ieas world energy outlook 2016. Natural gas had a remarkable year in 2018, with a 4.
Although renewable energy is the worlds fastest growing form of energy, fossil fuels to continue to meet much of the worlds energy demand. Fatih birol, chief economist of the international energy agency iea designed and directed the study which was prepared by the ieas directorate of global energy economics of the international energy agency and other offices of the agency. Asiaworld energy outlook 2016 1 executive summary world energy supply and demand outlook demand over the next 26 years through 2040, the worlds population will increase by 1. The ieo2017 is the first ed ition of this report to include mo del results through 2050, which are available on the ieo page of the eia website. Among many other conclusions, this years edition finds unmistakable signs that the muchneeded global energy transition is underway.
The outlook provides a projection of energy demand through 2040 using the. As a result of major transformations in the global energy system that take place over the next decades, renewables and natural gas are the big winners in the race to meet energy demand growth until 2040, according to the latest edition of the world energy outlook, the international energy agencys flagship publication. World energy outlook 0 fondazione sviluppo sostenibile. The international energy agencys iea africa energy outlook a special report in the 2014 world energy outlook series offers a most comprehensive analytical study of energy in africa, specifically in subsaharan africa, the epicentre of the global challenge to. World energy outlook 2004appears at an extremely volatile and uncertain moment in modern energy history. We asked in 2011 whether the world might be poised to enter a golden age of gas, and now it appears that global gas consumption is very close to those 2011 projections. Database documentation 2019 first edition international energy agency this document provides information regarding the 2019 first edition of the iea world energy statistics database for oecd and selected emerging economies the final edition will contain global data. Eias international energy outlook 2017 ieo2017 presents an assessment of longterm world energy markets. World energy outlook 2015 weo from the international energy agency iea has taken observers by surprise. World energy outlook 2018 gold standard of longterm energy analysis. Welcome fatih birol, chief economist at the international energy agency iea to present the ieas 20 world energy outlook on december 3rd from 9. World energy outlook 2014 world energy outlook 20 note.
The iea releases the world energy outlook weo2016 this week. Wind and solar make up almost 50% of world electricity in 2050 50 by 50 and help put the power sector on track for 2. This is the stated policies scenario steps what if we meet sustainable energy goals in full. It provides an exceptionally thorough analysis of global energy markets and clearly highlights the acceleration of an energy transformation that is already well underway. Our work spans a variety of programmes and initiatives, helping ensure energy security, tracking clean energy transitions, collecting data, or providing training around the world.
Nov 18, 2016 the csis energy national security program is pleased to host dr. Nov 11, 2015 world energy outlook 2015 weo from the international energy agency iea has taken observers by surprise. The world energy outlook does not provide a forecast of what will happen. The energy outlook explores the forces shaping the global energy transition out to 2040 and the key uncertainties surrounding that transition. Rather the value of the energy outlook is in providing a structure and discipline. World energy outlook 2020 and global electricity investment. Energyrelated air pollution leads to millions of premature deaths and costs the global economy trillions of dollars each year. Eia, international energy outlook 2016 and eia, analysis of the impacts of the clean power plan may 2015 history 2012 projections 33% 30% 28% 22% 23% 26% 12% 17% 4% 6% 22% 16%. Iea 2010 world energy outlook 2011 outlook 2012 outlook. Will peak oil be the guest or the spectre at the feast. As a result of major transformations in the global energy system that take place over the next decades, renewables and natural gas are the big winners in the race to meet energy demand growth until 2040, according to the latest edition of the world energy outlook, the international energy agencys flagship publication a detailed analysis of the pledges made for the paris. Primary energy demand, gdp and energy intensity in selected economies, 200017 energy use and intensity trends differ by country and region 60 80 100 120 140 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2017 european union. The iea is at the heart of the global energy dialogue.
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